Chemnitzer vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
HAL
0 - 1
CHE
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
CHE
1 - 0
FVF
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
CHE
4 - 0
BWA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
ZWI
0 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
CHE
3 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
FCU
3 - 0
BWA
40%
28%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
ZWI
2 - 2
FCU
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
FCU
2 - 1
ERF
40%
29%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
CHL
1 - 0
FCU
58%
25%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
FCU
0 - 2
BFC
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |