Chemnitzer FC U19 vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
7º
3º
14
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HER
2 - 3
CHE
84%
10%
5%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 0
HAL
29%
22%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DDR
1 - 1
CHE
67%
18%
15%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 4
COT
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 2
HAN
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ERA
0 - 2
LEI
35%
22%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
4 - 1
ERA
25%
20%
55%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
COT
2 - 1
ERA
33%
22%
45%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ERA
6 - 1
HER
15%
17%
69%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +5 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 5
ERA
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |