Chemnitzer FC II vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
17.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemnitzer FC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
BGL
0 - 2
CHE
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
WAG
71%
17%
13%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
EIN
0 - 2
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
DYN
27%
23%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
0 - 0
CHE
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
ERZ
3 - 0
GRU
45%
23%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
DYN
1 - 0
ERZ
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
ERZ
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ERZ
0 - 0
BUD
17%
25%
59%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
HEI
2 - 1
ERZ
56%
22%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |