Chemie Leipzig vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
15º
15º
17
13º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 71 |
1º
|
59.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 68 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 62 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 55 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 53 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 49 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 34 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
|
14º
|
19 | 31 |
15º
|
20% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 28 |
17º
|
19% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
5.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemie Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LOK
2 - 0
CHL
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CHL
0 - 3
ALT
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ERF
5 - 1
CHL
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHL
1 - 1
PLA
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 1
CHL
35%
27%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
EIL
0 - 1
MEU
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
BAB
2 - 2
EIL
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
EIL
1 - 1
CZJ
11%
18%
71%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZWI
3 - 2
EIL
59%
21%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
EIL
1 - 3
HER
29%
23%
48%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |