Chemelil Sugar vs Tusker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.2%
70.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
17.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 4
ULI
14%
28%
58%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
WES
22%
30%
49%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
WAZ
6 - 0
CHE
66%
21%
14%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 4
MAT
13%
26%
60%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
KCB
2 - 0
CHE
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TUS
0 - 0
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
WAZ
0 - 1
TUS
17%
25%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
KAS
1 - 3
TUS
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
TUS
1 - 0
BAN
58%
24%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
POS
0 - 1
TUS
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |