Chemelil Sugar vs Mathare United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
32.1%
Draw
0-0
15.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.1%
33.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chemelil Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
THI
1 - 0
CHE
44%
29%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
WES
1 - 1
CHE
46%
29%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 1
POS
36%
31%
33%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
USH
1 - 3
CHE
43%
30%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
1 - 0
ULI
26%
32%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Mathare United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 2
SOF
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GOR
2 - 1
MAT
58%
25%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
BAN
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MUH
0 - 0
MAT
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
POS
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |