EFL Cup 1/64
Global 0-3
Cheltenham Town vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
HUL
0 - 2
CHE
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
HAR
0 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
CHE
2 - 0
GUL
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
WAT
0 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
YOR
0 - 2
CHE
36%
28%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2000 |
WAT
4 - 1
SHE
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
WIM
0 - 0
WAT
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
WAT
0 - 0
CHE
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
WAT
1 - 0
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
HUR
1 - 2
WAT
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |