Cheltenham Town vs Walsall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
LEY
1 - 2
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 0
CRE
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
MOR
2 - 3
CHE
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 0
SOU
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CUM
1 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
WAL
1 - 2
MIL
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
HUR
2 - 1
WAL
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 1
SWI
50%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
OLD
3 - 2
WAL
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
WAL
0 - 3
MKD
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |