Cheltenham Town vs Torquay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
48.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 1
CRA
17%
26%
58%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
NOR
2 - 3
CHE
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 2
MOR
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 0
SWI
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 4
MKD
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Torquay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
DAG
1 - 1
GUL
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GUL
1 - 3
CRA
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
ALD
0 - 1
GUL
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 2
GUL
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
SOU
4 - 1
GUL
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |