Cheltenham Town vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GRI
0 - 0
CHE
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHE
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
DAG
0 - 2
CHE
69%
18%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 1
BOU
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 0
CHE
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
ALD
1 - 1
ROC
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
ROC
4 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
CRE
2 - 2
ROC
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
ROC
4 - 0
STF
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LIN
1 - 3
ROC
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |