Cheltenham Town vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 0
HAR
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 3
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 0
CUM
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
STA
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BHA
2 - 0
CHE
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
3 - 3
DAG
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
WBA
1 - 1
OXF
86%
11%
3%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
OXF
0 - 1
OPA
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 0
OXF
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
OXF
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |