Cheltenham Town vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
STF
2 - 0
CHE
50%
26%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 3
GIL
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
1 - 0
CHE
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 1
CHE
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 2
NOR
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 0
AFC
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 1
ROT
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 1
OXF
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
STF
2 - 2
OXF
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
OXF
2 - 0
SWI
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |