Cheltenham Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 0
NOR
28%
23%
50%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 3
BRI
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
HUN
3 - 0
CHE
15%
20%
66%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 5
PLY
18%
21%
60%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 3
CHE
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HER
0 - 0
NEW
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KID
2 - 0
NEW
18%
22%
61%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 0
NEW
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 1
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |