Cheltenham Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
1 - 1
DER
18%
25%
57%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 2
FLE
35%
27%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 3
STE
26%
29%
45%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
POS
3 - 0
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
TOW
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
COL
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 1
NEW
38%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 4
BRA
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |