Cheltenham Town vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
SWI
48%
22%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
FOR
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 0
MAC
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 2
CHE
33%
26%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
4 - 3
WHU
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GRI
1 - 1
NEW
21%
24%
56%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
SAL
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
COL
3 - 1
NEW
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
CRA
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
SCU
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |