Cheltenham Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 1
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 1
BUR
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BOU
0 - 0
CHE
60%
24%
17%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CHE
1 - 4
ROC
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
GRI
0 - 0
CHE
44%
25%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
3 - 2
BUR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
DAR
64%
21%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
STA
3 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHE
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
MAC
2 - 2
MOR
34%
26%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |