Cheltenham Town vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
OXF
1 - 0
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 0
WYC
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
ROC
4 - 1
CHE
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
POR
44%
27%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
CHE
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 2
EVE
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
EVE
1 - 2
CHL
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
EVE
2 - 1
WIG
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
WHU
1 - 2
EVE
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STO
1 - 1
EVE
32%
28%
40%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |