Cheltenham Town vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 2
CHE
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 3
SWA
55%
23%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 0
BCF
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
CHE
1 - 1
WAL
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
OXF
1 - 0
CHE
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
YEO
1 - 0
DAR
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
DAR
0 - 3
LIN
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
SWA
2 - 1
DAR
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
DAR
3 - 3
YEO
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
RUS
1 - 2
DAR
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |