Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
CHE
0 - 0
WYC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
POS
4 - 1
CHE
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
OLD
1 - 2
CHE
64%
20%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
CHE
1 - 0
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
OLD
0 - 0
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
SWI
1 - 3
CRE
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
CRE
2 - 0
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
CRE
3 - 0
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
BRI
2 - 2
CRE
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
CRE
3 - 0
BPO
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |