Cheltenham Town vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 2
CHE
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 1
LEY
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
NTT
3 - 0
CHE
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
DON
0 - 2
CHE
66%
22%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 2
YEO
31%
25%
44%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 1
CRE
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
YEO
1 - 0
CHE
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
DON
30%
26%
44%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
SWA
2 - 0
CHE
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 1
LEY
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |