Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
BRO
3 - 0
CHE
54%
23%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CHE
4 - 1
SCU
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
LEY
1 - 0
CHE
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 3
BRO
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
CUM
0 - 2
MAN
44%
26%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 3
CUM
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SWI
3 - 2
CUM
48%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CUM
2 - 1
CRA
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ROS
2 - 0
CUM
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |