Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
WRE
2 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
CHE
1 - 1
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
WYC
0 - 0
CHE
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CHE
1 - 1
LEY
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
CHE
5 - 0
BRE
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CUM
2 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
BCF
0 - 1
CUM
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
LIN
0 - 0
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
CUM
0 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 1
CUM
64%
20%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |