Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 2
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
DAR
3 - 1
CHE
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
STF
0 - 2
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
CHE
0 - 3
GRI
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
LIN
0 - 1
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
CUM
6 - 0
STO
53%
24%
22%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
NOT
0 - 0
CUM
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
OLD
1 - 1
CUM
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
CUM
1 - 0
MAN
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
OXF
1 - 0
CUM
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |