FA Cup 1/128
Global 2-3
Cheltenham Town vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
YEO
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
WAL
2 - 0
CHE
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 2
CRE
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 1
CHE
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 3
NTT
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
BHA
1 - 1
WAL
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BHA
3 - 1
LUT
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 2
BHA
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
BHA
0 - 1
LEE
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
POR
0 - 1
BHA
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |