Cheltenham Town vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
CHE
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DAG
1 - 0
CHE
36%
25%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRO
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 1
GUL
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
ROC
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
ALD
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 2
PLY
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 0
ALD
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MID
2 - 1
ALD
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 2
NOR
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |