Cheltenham Town vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
ALD
0 - 1
CHE
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
GUL
2 - 2
CHE
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
DAG
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
MKD
24%
24%
53%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 4
BUR
23%
24%
53%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STA
0 - 3
EXE
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
POR
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 1
STA
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CUM
1 - 0
STA
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
STA
1 - 4
COV
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |