Chelsea U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
20.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 0
ARS
56%
21%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
BHA
2 - 0
CHE
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
SOU
1 - 4
CHE
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 0
WHU
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 0
EVE
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
DER
2 - 1
LEI
41%
25%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
EVE
4 - 1
DER
45%
23%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
DER
2 - 1
LIV
33%
23%
44%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MCI
3 - 3
DER
54%
22%
24%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
DER
1 - 4
BHA
34%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |