Chelsea U23 vs Derby County U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
BLA
0 - 3
CHE
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
EVE
40%
24%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
LIV
5 - 1
CHE
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 2
TOT
53%
22%
26%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
DER
0 - 3
CHE
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Derby County U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
SWA
1 - 1
DER
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
DER
2 - 2
BLA
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
LEI
3 - 1
DER
64%
20%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
WHU
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TOT
4 - 2
DER
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |