Chelsea Sub 18 vs Arsenal Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+125%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
8º
4º
23
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WHU
1 - 3
CHE
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 2
TOT
58%
19%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 7
CHE
18%
18%
64%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AST
1 - 3
CHE
22%
20%
58%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 4
WHU
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BHA
3 - 1
ARS
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ARS
2 - 2
FUL
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARS
4 - 3
NOR
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 4
WHU
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 2
SOU
44%
21%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |