Chelsea vs Wigan Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
LIV
0 - 2
CHL
34%
26%
41%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CHL
7 - 0
STO
86%
11%
4%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
TOT
2 - 1
CHL
26%
25%
49%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
84%
11%
4%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ASV
0 - 3
CHL
27%
26%
47%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wigan Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2010 |
WIG
2 - 2
HUL
51%
27%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
WHU
3 - 2
WIG
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
WIG
3 - 2
ARS
11%
20%
70%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
WIG
0 - 0
OPA
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
FUL
2 - 1
WIG
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |