FA Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Chelsea vs West Ham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
TOT
5 - 1
CHL
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CHL
5 - 1
WHU
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2002 |
CHL
4 - 0
NOR
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 2
CHL
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2002 |
CHL
2 - 1
TOT
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CHL
5 - 1
WHU
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
WHU
1 - 0
LEI
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 3
WHU
13%
22%
65%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2002 |
LEE
3 - 0
WHU
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
WHU
1 - 1
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | +1 |