Chelsea vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
CHL
2 - 1
CHA
75%
17%
8%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
BBU
0 - 2
CHL
22%
27%
51%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
MID
2 - 1
CHL
23%
27%
51%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
CHL
3 - 0
MAC
74%
17%
9%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
64%
20%
16%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PIR
1 - 1
BRE
8%
16%
76%
|
89 | 43 | 46 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2006 |
S04
2 - 0
BRE
34%
25%
41%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEV
60%
20%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
HAN
2 - 4
BRE
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 0
BYM
42%
25%
33%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |