Chelsea vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
CHL
0 - 1
SOU
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
OXF
4 - 4
CHL
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
CHL
0 - 0
EVE
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
COV
3 - 3
CHL
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
NEW
3 - 1
CHL
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1988 |
WAT
1 - 2
EVE
28%
28%
44%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1988 |
WHU
1 - 0
WAT
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1988 |
WIM
2 - 1
WAT
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1988 |
WAT
0 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1988 |
WAT
0 - 1
COV
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |