Chelsea vs Watford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1970 |
CHL
1 - 1
NTT
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
COV
0 - 3
CHL
35%
26%
40%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1970 |
CHL
0 - 0
NEW
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
QPR
2 - 4
CHL
30%
24%
46%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1970 |
DER
2 - 2
CHL
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Watford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1970 |
WAT
1 - 1
HUL
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
BIR
0 - 0
WAT
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1970 |
WAT
1 - 1
MIL
54%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
WAT
1 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
47%
|
66 | 89 | 23 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1970 |
WAT
2 - 0
BRI
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |