Chelsea vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CHL
2 - 0
SUN
80%
15%
6%
|
96 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 0
WHU
78%
16%
7%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
RBK
0 - 4
CHL
22%
27%
51%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
DER
0 - 2
CHL
13%
25%
62%
|
96 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
74%
18%
9%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
OSA
0 - 0
VCF
41%
27%
32%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
VCF
0 - 3
ATH
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
VCF
0 - 0
S04
61%
22%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RAC
1 - 0
VCF
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
VCF
3 - 0
MUR
78%
16%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |