EFL Cup Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Chelsea vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 5
CHL
14%
21%
66%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2013 |
CHL
0 - 1
QPR
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
EVE
1 - 2
CHL
33%
25%
42%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 1
CHL
18%
22%
60%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CHL
8 - 0
ASV
73%
17%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SWA
2 - 2
ARS
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
SWA
2 - 2
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
FUL
1 - 2
SWA
60%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
REA
0 - 0
SWA
41%
26%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
SWA
1 - 1
MUD
12%
20%
69%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |