Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 1
CHL
15%
22%
63%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
CHL
2 - 0
PSG
57%
22%
21%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CHL
3 - 0
STO
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
PSG
3 - 1
CHL
37%
25%
38%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CRY
1 - 0
CHL
7%
18%
75%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
2 - 2
SUN
87%
9%
4%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SUN
0 - 1
EVE
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
TOT
5 - 1
SUN
70%
19%
12%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
SUN
1 - 2
WHU
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
LIV
2 - 1
SUN
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |