Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
CHL
1 - 0
FUL
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
LIV
2 - 0
CHL
27%
25%
48%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
CHL
4 - 1
SPA
80%
14%
7%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BBU
1 - 2
CHL
12%
21%
67%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CHL
2 - 0
WOL
89%
9%
3%
|
96 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
TOT
1 - 1
SUN
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SUN
2 - 0
STO
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
NEW
5 - 1
SUN
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SUN
1 - 0
ASV
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2010 |
BBU
0 - 0
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |