Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 0
WHU
78%
16%
7%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
RBK
0 - 4
CHL
22%
27%
51%
|
96 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
DER
0 - 2
CHL
13%
25%
62%
|
96 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CHL
1 - 1
EVE
74%
18%
9%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
S04
0 - 0
CHL
19%
27%
53%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 0
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
EVE
7 - 1
SUN
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2007 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
SUN
1 - 1
FUL
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |