Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1970 |
BUR
1 - 3
CHL
43%
24%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1970 |
ARS
0 - 3
CHL
46%
26%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 5
LEE
39%
28%
33%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1969 |
CRY
1 - 5
CHL
27%
26%
47%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1969 |
CHL
3 - 1
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1970 |
WBA
3 - 1
SUN
71%
17%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1970 |
NTT
2 - 1
SUN
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1970 |
SUN
2 - 1
TOT
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1969 |
SUN
1 - 1
MUD
24%
26%
49%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1969 |
SHW
2 - 0
SUN
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |