Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1968 |
CHL
2 - 1
BUR
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
EVE
2 - 1
CHL
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1968 |
CHL
1 - 0
MAC
56%
23%
20%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1968 |
CHL
2 - 0
TOT
45%
25%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1968 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1968 |
WHU
1 - 1
SUN
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1968 |
SUN
2 - 0
ARS
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1968 |
SUN
2 - 0
WOL
48%
23%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1968 |
LIV
2 - 1
SUN
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
SUN
3 - 1
STO
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |