Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
LEI
3 - 2
CHL
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
CHL
1 - 4
BPO
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1958 |
CHL
1 - 2
WOL
42%
23%
35%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
ARS
5 - 4
CHL
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
ASV
1 - 3
CHL
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
SUN
2 - 0
WBA
38%
24%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
TOT
0 - 1
SUN
76%
13%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
SUN
3 - 3
SHW
48%
22%
30%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1958 |
PNE
3 - 0
SUN
75%
14%
11%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1958 |
SUN
2 - 3
BUR
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |