Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHL
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
CHL
4 - 2
MAC
52%
22%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1957 |
WOL
3 - 1
CHL
78%
13%
10%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1957 |
CHL
2 - 2
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 4
CHL
70%
16%
14%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
SUN
0 - 0
PNE
42%
22%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 4
WBA
50%
22%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1957 |
BUR
2 - 0
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1957 |
SUN
5 - 2
SHW
53%
21%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1957 |
TOT
5 - 2
SUN
67%
17%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |