Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
28.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
GRI
2 - 1
CHL
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
CHL
0 - 2
DER
51%
23%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
BRE
1 - 0
CHL
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
CHL
4 - 2
ARS
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
BPO
5 - 1
CHL
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
SUN
3 - 0
STO
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
MUD
0 - 1
SUN
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 2
MID
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1938 |
LEI
0 - 2
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1938 |
OPA
2 - 1
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |