Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1933 |
CHL
1 - 1
LEE
44%
23%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1933 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1933 |
CHL
1 - 2
MAC
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1933 |
EVE
2 - 1
CHL
77%
14%
10%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
CHL
1 - 1
BIR
48%
24%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1933 |
SUN
0 - 0
DER
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1933 |
EVE
1 - 0
SUN
66%
18%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1933 |
SUN
3 - 0
ARS
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1933 |
MID
0 - 4
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1933 |
SUN
4 - 0
SHW
51%
21%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |