Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1932 |
LIV
0 - 2
CHL
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
CHL
4 - 1
GRI
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
CHL
1 - 0
LEI
46%
23%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
ASV
1 - 3
CHL
84%
10%
6%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
HUR
2 - 1
CHL
64%
19%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1932 |
SUN
5 - 1
OPA
58%
20%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1932 |
BBU
5 - 2
SUN
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1932 |
SUN
1 - 0
SHE
52%
20%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1932 |
BPO
3 - 2
SUN
43%
22%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1932 |
EVE
4 - 2
SUN
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |