Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
CHL
1 - 0
NEW
37%
31%
32%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1924 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIV
36%
32%
32%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
NEW
2 - 1
CHL
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHL
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
BIR
1 - 0
CHL
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
WBA
3 - 1
SUN
43%
25%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
67%
18%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1924 |
SUN
2 - 0
WBA
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 0
SUN
39%
26%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
SUN
3 - 2
MID
68%
18%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |