Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
EVE
2 - 3
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
2 - 0
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1915 |
EVE
2 - 2
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
SHE
3 - 0
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1915 |
CHL
1 - 3
MUD
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 1
ASV
59%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
SUN
5 - 0
TOT
70%
17%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
BUR
2 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
SUN
1 - 1
BRA
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1915 |
SUN
0 - 3
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |