Chelsea vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 1
OLD
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1912 |
NEW
3 - 2
CHL
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
CHL
4 - 2
SHE
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1912 |
CHL
1 - 2
LIV
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1912 |
BOL
1 - 0
CHL
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1912 |
SUN
2 - 2
TOT
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1912 |
OLD
3 - 0
SUN
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1912 |
SUN
2 - 4
BBU
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1912 |
SUN
0 - 2
DER
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1912 |
BBU
4 - 0
SUN
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |