Champions League Last 16
Global 1-0
Chelsea vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHL
28%
26%
47%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
STU
0 - 1
CHL
32%
27%
40%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
CHL
1 - 2
ARS
34%
25%
40%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
64%
21%
16%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
OPA
0 - 2
CHL
20%
24%
56%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
BVB
0 - 2
STU
47%
26%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
STU
0 - 0
S04
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
STU
0 - 1
CHL
32%
27%
40%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
KAI
1 - 0
STU
31%
27%
43%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
STU
1 - 1
MON
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |